The QB Board After Camp: Confidence Intervals, Not Vibes

By GH | thegavfather.com

---

The quarterback board is a set of confidence intervals. Camp keeps shrinking them.

Live file 2026-08-26.

Current QB order

Josh Allen (QB, BUF) — We have QB1 — market has QB1 — 24.0 PPG

Lamar Jackson (QB, BAL) — We have QB2 — market has QB3 — 22.2 PPG

Drake Maye (QB, NE) — We have QB3 — market has QB2 — 20.3 PPG

Joe Burrow (QB, CIN) — We have QB4 — market has QB4 — 20.1 PPG

Justin Herbert (QB, LAC) — We have QB5 — market has QB14 — 19.8 PPG Signal: BUY

Jayden Daniels (QB, WAS) — We have QB6 — market has QB6 — 19.3 PPG

Jalen Hurts (QB, PHI) — We have QB7 — market has QB8 — 19.2 PPG

Brock Purdy (QB, SF) — We have QB8 — market has QB9 — 17.7 PPG

Jared Goff (QB, DET) — We have QB9 — market has QB12 — 17.5 PPG Signal: BUY

Caleb Williams (QB, CHI) — We have QB10 — market has QB10 — 17.5 PPG

Bo Nix (QB, DEN) — We have QB11 — market has QB15 — 17.5 PPG Signal: BUY

Trevor Lawrence (QB, JAX) — We have QB12 — market has QB11 — 16.7 PPG

Camp flags at QB

Patrick Mahomes — RETURNING ACL + LCL (Week 15 2025) — fully cleared for camp Week 1: LIKELY — 1st-team camp reps; Reid sitting him in preseason only Cleared for full camp with no limitations (Reid + Dr. Cooper). Taking 1st-team 11-on-11. Unlikely to play preseason. Week 1 Sept 14 vs DEN is the target — not a medical hold.

BUY QBs vs ADP

Justin Herbert (QB, LAC) — We have QB5 — market has QB14 — 19.8 PPG

Cam Ward (QB, TEN) — We have QB19 — market has QB25 — 12.8 PPG

Bo Nix (QB, DEN) — We have QB11 — market has QB15 — 17.5 PPG

Tyler Shough (QB, NO) — We have QB15 — market has QB19 — 15.5 PPG

Baker Mayfield (QB, TB) — We have QB13 — market has QB17 — 16.6 PPG

Sam Darnold (QB, SEA) — We have QB16 — market has QB20 — 14.9 PPG

FADE QBs vs ADP

Malik Willis (QB, MIA) — We have QB45 — market has QB23 — 6.6 PPG

Matthew Stafford (QB, LAR) — We have QB26 — market has QB7 — 12.0 PPG

Dak Prescott (QB, DAL) — We have QB20 — market has QB5 — 12.7 PPG

Kyler Murray (QB, MIN) — We have QB28 — market has QB18 — 11.7 PPG

Patrick Mahomes (QB, KC) — We have QB17 — market has QB13 — 13.9 PPG

---

Full updated rankings at thegavfather.com/rankings. Camp notes refresh twice daily. Articles publish Sun–Thu from the live file. Camp report on Friday.

An offer your roster can't refuse.

— GH