About The Gavfather

I won my first fantasy football championship in high school knowing nothing about football. My first question when I started watching games was genuinely why the players' pants didn't fall down when they got tackled. I still won.

I work in tech. I spend my days thinking about AI, data, and how to find signal in noise. At some point the obvious question hit me: why is nobody applying real machine learning to fantasy football data?

22 years of NFL data. 777,000 individual plays. 11,054 player-seasons. 175 features engineered from scratch. Machine learning models trained to answer one question: what actually predicts fantasy performance next year?

People ask me why I didn't use this for something more important. The same analytical frameworks that find edges in fantasy football find edges everywhere. Signal vs noise. What the market overvalues. Where conventional wisdom is quietly wrong.

I just happen to care about this particular problem. And I'm good at it. My pants-question rookie year championship says so.